GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/31/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Qarabag · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Qarabag are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Olimpija Ljubljana are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Qarabag hold a 39.8-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Qarabag holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Qarabag

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

54.5%

Qarabag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

QarabagDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Olimpija LjubljanaLLWLW

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
QarabagOlimpija Ljubljana
50.0Attack16.7
100.0Defence50.0
66.7Form16.7
71.2Power31.3
1.75xG0.86
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