Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qarabag · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (14%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–014%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–012%
Predicted outcome
Qarabag
Probability
84.3%
Model confidence
84.3%
Qarabag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QarabagWWWLD
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
KapazWLLWW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
QarabagKapaz
89.8Attack36.1
65.7Defence38.0
76.9Form32.4
75.9Power37.6
3.38xG0.60