QarabagvsHJK Helsinki

Qarabag are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while HJK Helsinki are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Qarabag hold a 44.5-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Qarabag holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.