Qarabagvs
Bayer Leverkusen
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/9/2023, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Qarabag are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bayer Leverkusen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bayer Leverkusen
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40