Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sabah FA · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-1 (13%), 0-3 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Qabala 0-4 Sabah FA
Original prediction
Sabah FA
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.68 | 10.4% | 13.4% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.68 | 19.4% | 20.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 70.2% | 66.3% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–310%
Predicted outcome
Sabah FA
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Sabah FA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QabalaLLLWD
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sabah FAWDWWL
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
QabalaSabah FA
16.7Attack77.8
44.4Defence94.4
22.2Form88.9
31.2Power85.5
0.63xG2.09