Qabalavs
Mingəçevir
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Cup · 10/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qabala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Qabala 3-0 Mingəçevir
Original prediction
Qabala
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 October 2026 at 15:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 84.8% | 50.9% | -33.9 pts |
| Draw | 9.43 | 11.0% | 22.7% | 11.7 pts |
| Away | 24.59 | 4.2% | 26.4% | 22.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-33.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Qabala
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Qabala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QabalaWLLLL
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MingəçevirWLLLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
QabalaMingəçevir
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
2.02xG1.72