Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keshla FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Qabala are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Keshla FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Keshla FC hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.6% in the Premyer Liqa, while Keshla FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Keshla FC
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
18.6%
Keshla FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20