Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qabala · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Qabala 0-0 Şamaxı FK, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Qabala 0-0 Şamaxı FK
Original prediction
Qabala
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.3% | 41.8% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.8% | 30.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 23.9% | 28.1% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Projected Score
Qabala 0–0 Şamaxı FK
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Qabala
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Qabala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QabalaLLWWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Şamaxı FKDLLWL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
QabalaŞamaxı FK
0.0Attack30.5
66.7Defence57.1
0.0Form34.3
23.7Power43.0
1.14xG0.80