Pyunik Yerevanvs
Shirak
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pyunik Yerevan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pyunik Yerevan 2-0 Shirak
Original prediction
Pyunik Yerevan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 70.3% | 52.0% | -18.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.77 | 18.9% | 24.7% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 8.38 | 10.8% | 23.4% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Pyunik Yerevan
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Pyunik Yerevan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00