Pyunik Yerevanvs
Gandzasar
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 10/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pyunik Yerevan · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Pyunik Yerevan 4-0 Gandzasar, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pyunik Yerevan 3-0 Gandzasar
Original prediction
Pyunik Yerevan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 80.2% | 82.1% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.82 | 13.3% | 10.7% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 13.93 | 6.5% | 7.2% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Pyunik Yerevan 4–0 Gandzasar
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Pyunik Yerevan
Probability
82.1%
Model confidence
82.1%
Pyunik Yerevan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40