Pyunik Yerevanvs
BKMA
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 10/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pyunik Yerevan · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pyunik Yerevan 5-0 BKMA
Original prediction
Pyunik Yerevan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 76.1% | 67.5% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.82 | 15.5% | 19.4% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 10.83 | 8.4% | 13.1% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Pyunik Yerevan
Probability
67.5%
Model confidence
67.5%
Pyunik Yerevan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00