Pyunik Yerevanvs
Ararat-Armenia
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pyunik Yerevan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pyunik Yerevan 2-1 Ararat-Armenia
Original prediction
Pyunik Yerevan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.1% | 41.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.9% | 26.7% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.0% | 31.4% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Pyunik Yerevan
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Pyunik Yerevan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80