Pyrgos 1968vs
Larisa
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 9/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Larisa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pyrgos 1968 0-4 Larisa
Original prediction
Larisa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.14 | 17.7% | 25.2% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.1% | 28.6% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 57.2% | 46.2% | -11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Larisa
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Larisa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Pyrgos 1968LL
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00
BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
LarisaDWDLW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Pyrgos 1968Larisa
50.0Attack53.3
50.0Defence71.1
50.0Form65.6
50.0Power64.8
0.78xG1.33