Pyeongtaek Citizenvs
Sejong SA
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 10/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sejong SA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pyeongtaek Citizen 7-1 Sejong SA
Original prediction
Sejong SA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 31.8% | 29.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.8% | 25.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.5% | 45.1% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Sejong SA
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Sejong SA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20