Pyeongtaek Citizenvs
Gijang United
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gijang United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pyeongtaek Citizen 2-3 Gijang United
Original prediction
Gijang United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.56 | 25.1% | 25.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.7% | 22.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 50.3% | 52.1% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Gijang United
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Gijang United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00