Pyeongtaek Citizenvs
Geoje Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 5/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Geoje Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Pyeongtaek Citizen are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Geoje Citizen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Geoje Citizen hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (27.2 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the K4 League, while Geoje Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Geoje Citizen
Probability
72.0%
Model confidence
9.3%
Geoje Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40