GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K4 League · 5/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Geoje Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Pyeongtaek Citizen are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Geoje Citizen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Geoje Citizen hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (27.2 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the K4 League, while Geoje Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Geoje Citizen

Probability

72.0%

Model confidence

9.3%

Geoje Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pyeongtaek CitizenDLLLL

GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Geoje CitizenDWWLD

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pyeongtaek CitizenGeoje Citizen
31.4Attack62.5
23.5Defence45.8
17.6Form43.8
27.2Power50.7
1.03xG2.82
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