GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K4 League · 7/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Geoje Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Pyeongchang United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Geoje Citizen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Geoje Citizen hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the K4 League, while Geoje Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Geoje Citizen

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

11.6%

Geoje Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pyeongchang UnitedWWWDW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Geoje CitizenWLLLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pyeongchang UnitedGeoje Citizen
41.7Attack62.5
50.0Defence45.8
41.7Form43.8
46.3Power50.7
1.45xG1.74
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