Puszcza Niepołomicevs
Podbeskidzie
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 8/29/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puszcza Niepołomice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Puszcza Niepołomice 2-0 Podbeskidzie
Original prediction
Puszcza Niepołomice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.5% | 38.8% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.7% | 27.2% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.8% | 34.0% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Puszcza Niepołomice
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Puszcza Niepołomice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40