Puszcza Niepołomicevs
ŁKS Łódź
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ŁKS Łódź · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Puszcza Niepołomice 1-2 ŁKS Łódź
Original prediction
ŁKS Łódź
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.7% | 34.0% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.7% | 28.5% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.5% | 37.5% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
ŁKS Łódź
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
ŁKS Łódź has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60