Pustá Polomvs
Šumperk
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie F · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pustá Polom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pustá Polom 2-2 Šumperk
Original prediction
Pustá Polom
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 32.6% | 46.9% | 14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.7% | 24.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.7% | 28.7% | -14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Pustá Polom
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Pustá Polom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80