GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB I · 8/4/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Puskas Academy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Puskas Academy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ujpest are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ujpest hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the NB I, while Puskas Academy holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Puskas Academy

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Puskas Academy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Puskas AcademyWDLLD

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UjpestWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Puskas AcademyUjpest
55.6Attack100.0
55.6Defence33.3
66.7Form66.7
61.0Power67.2
1.89xG1.70
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