Puskas Academyvs
Ferencvarosi TC
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puskas Academy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Puskas Academy 1-2 Ferencvarosi TC
Original prediction
Puskas Academy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.8% | 43.5% | 16.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.4% | 25.4% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 47.8% | 31.1% | -16.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Puskas Academy
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Puskas Academy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60