GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB I · 8/18/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fehérvár FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Puskas Academy are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fehérvár FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Puskas Academy hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the NB I, while Fehérvár FC holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fehérvár FC

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Fehérvár FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Puskas AcademyWDWDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Fehérvár FCLLLDD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Puskas AcademyFehérvár FC
55.6Attack55.6
55.6Defence59.6
66.7Form54.5
61.0Power56.5
1.41xG1.49
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