Puskas Academyvs
Budapest Honved
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 9/18/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puskas Academy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Puskas Academy 3-1 Budapest Honved
Original prediction
Puskas Academy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.7% | 47.6% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.5% | 24.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.7% | 28.1% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Puskas Academy
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Puskas Academy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40