GGOALVIO

World · AFC Challenge League · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pusamania Borneo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Pusamania Borneo 2-0 Yangon United

Original prediction

Pusamania Borneo

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2473.2%43.9%-29.3 pts
Draw5.7515.8%25.1%9.4 pts
Away8.1911.1%31.0%19.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-29.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Pusamania Borneo

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Pusamania Borneo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pusamania BorneoLDWLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yangon UnitedLWWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pusamania BorneoYangon United
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
1.35xG1.50
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