GGOALVIO

Indonesia · Liga 1 · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Persija · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Pusamania Borneo 0-1 Persija

Original prediction

Persija

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5835.2%31.4%-3.8 pts
Draw3.4226.6%27.6%1.0 pts
Away2.3938.1%41.0%2.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.0–113%

Predicted outcome

Persija

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Persija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pusamania BorneoWDWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PersijaWLWDL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Pusamania BorneoPersija
51.8Attack63.7
67.5Defence71.6
64.9Form69.6
63.0Power68.4
0.93xG1.15
View match centre →