Pusamania Borneovs
Dewa United
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 9/16/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pusamania Borneo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pusamania Borneo 1-3 Dewa United
Original prediction
Pusamania Borneo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.3% | 38.4% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.5% | 28.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.2% | 33.6% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Pusamania Borneo
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Pusamania Borneo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80