Pusamania Borneovs
Bali United
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 9/20/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bali United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pusamania Borneo 1-0 Bali United
Original prediction
Bali United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.7% | 32.0% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.6% | 26.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.7% | 41.3% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Bali United
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Bali United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20