GGOALVIO

Indonesia · Piala Presiden · 8/4/2024, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pusamania Borneo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Pusamania Borneo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Arema FC are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWDW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pusamania Borneo hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (69.5 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Piala Presiden, while Pusamania Borneo holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pusamania Borneo

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Pusamania Borneo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pusamania BorneoWDWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Arema FCWWDW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/0.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Pusamania BorneoArema FC
46.7Attack33.3
80.0Defence60.0
73.3Form40.0
69.5Power46.4
1.46xG0.79
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