Puntarenas FCvs
LD Alajuelense
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
LD Alajuelense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Puntarenas FC 1-1 LD Alajuelense
Original prediction
LD Alajuelense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.57 | 25.4% | 25.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.4% | 27.5% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.89 | 48.2% | 47.0% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
LD Alajuelense
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
LD Alajuelense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60