Puntarenas FCvs
Escorpiones Belén
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puntarenas FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Puntarenas FC 1-0 Escorpiones Belén, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Puntarenas FC 1-0 Escorpiones Belén
Original prediction
Puntarenas FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.8% | 52.8% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.0% | 26.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.49 | 20.2% | 20.9% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Projected Score
Puntarenas FC 1–0 Escorpiones Belén
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Puntarenas FC
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Puntarenas FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40