Puntarenas FCvs
CS Cartagines
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CS Cartagines · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Puntarenas FC 1-3 CS Cartagines
Original prediction
CS Cartagines
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.2% | 30.0% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.8% | 27.5% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 35.0% | 42.5% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
CS Cartagines
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
CS Cartagines has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80