GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/6/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Pumas UNAM W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Toluca W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 61.0-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

55.6%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pumas UNAM WWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Toluca WWLDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pumas UNAM WToluca W
55.6Attack100.0
0.0Defence83.3
33.3Form100.0
33.8Power94.8
1.49xG2.50
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