GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/16/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Pumas UNAM W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Toluca W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 61.0-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

55.6%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pumas UNAM WLWDWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Toluca WWWLLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pumas UNAM WToluca W
55.6Attack100.0
0.0Defence83.3
33.3Form100.0
33.8Power94.8
1.49xG2.50
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