Pumas UNAM Wvs
Tigres UANL W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigres UANL W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pumas UNAM W 1-3 Tigres UANL W
Original prediction
Tigres UANL W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.65 | 24.9% | 20.3% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.2% | 18.9% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 51.9% | 60.8% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Tigres UANL W
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Tigres UANL W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60