GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pumas UNAM W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Pumas UNAM W 2-0 Puebla W

Original prediction

Pumas UNAM W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.0587.5%68.9%-18.6 pts
Draw11.288.2%14.7%6.6 pts
Away21.274.3%16.3%12.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-18.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–17%
  2. 2.3–27%
  3. 3.4–17%

Predicted outcome

Pumas UNAM W

Probability

68.9%

Model confidence

68.9%

Pumas UNAM W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pumas UNAM WLLWWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Puebla WLLWLL

GF 11 · GA 22 · avg 2.20/4.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Pumas UNAM WPuebla W
71.4Attack57.1
33.3Defence0.0
42.9Form14.3
48.3Power24.0
3.63xG1.84
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