GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pumas UNAM W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Pumas UNAM W 1-0 Atlas W

Original prediction

Pumas UNAM W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2573.2%66.2%-7.0 pts
Draw5.5416.6%17.6%1.0 pts
Away8.9710.2%16.3%6.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.3–18%

Predicted outcome

Pumas UNAM W

Probability

66.2%

Model confidence

66.2%

Pumas UNAM W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pumas UNAM WLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlas WWDWLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Pumas UNAM WAtlas W
60.0Attack37.0
43.3Defence37.0
43.3Form44.4
48.6Power41.8
2.48xG1.21
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