Pumas UNAM Wvs
América W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pumas UNAM W 1-2 América W
Original prediction
América W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.09 | 11.2% | 23.7% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.63 | 16.1% | 20.5% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 1.25 | 72.6% | 55.8% | -16.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 28 · GA 2 · avg 5.60/0.40