Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tunari · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Păuleşti are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Tunari are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tunari hold a 37.5-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.0% in the Cupa României, while Tunari holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tunari
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
8.0%
Tunari has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 19 · avg 1.60/3.80
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20