GGOALVIO

Finland · Kakkonen - Lohko A · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PuiU Helsinki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

PuiU Helsinki 3-3 Union Plaani

Original prediction

PuiU Helsinki

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7751.0%44.2%-6.8 pts
Draw3.8823.3%26.4%3.1 pts
Away3.5125.7%29.4%3.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.1–18%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

PuiU Helsinki

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

PuiU Helsinki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PuiU HelsinkiWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Union PlaaniWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PuiU HelsinkiUnion Plaani
49.2Attack42.9
33.3Defence27.0
31.7Form36.5
38.5Power38.2
2.39xG1.63
View match centre →