Puerto Ricovs
Guyana
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puerto Rico · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Puerto Rico 0-1 Guyana
Original prediction
Puerto Rico
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.3% | 36.8% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.8% | 28.5% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 39.9% | 34.8% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Puerto Rico
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Puerto Rico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60