GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Nations League · 10/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Puerto Rico · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Puerto Rico 1-0 Cayman Islands

Original prediction

Puerto Rico

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.0687.3%61.7%-25.5 pts
Draw10.388.9%20.3%11.5 pts
Away23.893.9%17.9%14.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-25.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–010%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Puerto Rico

Probability

61.7%

Model confidence

61.7%

Puerto Rico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Puerto RicoWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Cayman IslandsLLDLL

GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Puerto RicoCayman Islands
55.6Attack0.0
88.9Defence44.4
66.7Form11.1
69.4Power23.1
2.11xG0.99
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