Puerto Nuevovs
Mercedes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 5/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Puerto Nuevo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mercedes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mercedes hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
39.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80