Puerto Nuevovs
Lugano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Puerto Nuevo 0-0 Lugano, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Puerto Nuevo 0-1 Lugano
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 32.8% | 30.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 32.3% | 35.7% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 34.9% | 33.8% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Puerto Nuevo 0–0 Lugano
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Puerto NuevoWLDDW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LuganoDWLDW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Puerto NuevoLugano
32.1Attack38.5
69.2Defence70.5
48.7Form51.3
52.0Power55.1
0.61xG0.66