Puerto Nuevovs
JJ Urquiza
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 10/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Puerto Nuevo 0-0 JJ Urquiza, with an exact score probability of 39%.
Prediction record
Final result
Puerto Nuevo 1-4 JJ Urquiza
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 33.9% | 33.8% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.63 | 34.0% | 39.2% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.1% | 27.0% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Projected Score
Puerto Nuevo 0–0 JJ Urquiza
Exact score probability: 39%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Puerto NuevoLLLLW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
JJ UrquizaLDDWL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Puerto NuevoJJ Urquiza
30.0Attack16.7
65.6Defence72.2
42.2Form32.2
48.0Power42.4
0.55xG0.42