Puerto Nuevovs
Deportivo Paraguayo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puerto Nuevo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Puerto Nuevo 0-0 Deportivo Paraguayo, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Puerto Nuevo 2-3 Deportivo Paraguayo
Original prediction
Puerto Nuevo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.6% | 47.2% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 31.8% | 34.5% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.15 | 21.6% | 18.4% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Projected Score
Puerto Nuevo 0–0 Deportivo Paraguayo
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Puerto Nuevo
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Puerto Nuevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20