GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/16/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marineros de Puntarenas · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Puerto Golfito are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 5.40 conceded, while Marineros de Puntarenas are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Marineros de Puntarenas hold a 49.8-point power-rating edge (9.3 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Marineros de Puntarenas holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marineros de Puntarenas

Probability

83.2%

Model confidence

83.2%

Marineros de Puntarenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Puerto GolfitoLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 27 · avg 0.60/5.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Marineros de PuntarenasWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Puerto GolfitoMarineros de Puntarenas
9.3Attack61.8
0.0Defence59.8
1.9Form55.9
9.3Power59.1
0.61xG3.19
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