GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/5/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antioquia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Puerto Golfito are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Antioquia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Antioquia hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (9.3 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Antioquia holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antioquia

Probability

69.5%

Model confidence

69.5%

Antioquia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Puerto GolfitoLLLLL

GF 0 · GA 14 · avg 0.00/2.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
AntioquiaWLLDL

GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Puerto GolfitoAntioquia
9.3Attack55.2
0.0Defence36.5
1.9Form40.6
9.3Power44.1
1.01xG2.74
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