GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/2/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Puerto Golfito are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.60 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 71.0-point power-rating edge (9.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

75.2%

Model confidence

75.2%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Puerto GolfitoLLLLL

GF 0 · GA 18 · avg 0.00/3.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 5/5
AD SarchíWWDLD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Puerto GolfitoAD Sarchí
9.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence66.7
1.9Form100.0
9.3Power80.3
0.72xG2.68
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