GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/9/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Puerto Golfito are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 5.60 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 71.0-point power-rating edge (9.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

75.2%

Model confidence

75.2%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Puerto GolfitoLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 28 · avg 0.60/5.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
AD SarchíWLWLD

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Puerto GolfitoAD Sarchí
9.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence66.7
1.9Form100.0
9.3Power80.3
0.72xG2.68
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